When you remember Kraljic, don’t forget Coase!

Coase laid the original foundations … Kraljic gave us fundamentals … and now the Busch-Lamoureux Exact Purchasing Framework is building on that to give you a guide to modern Procurement!

The Kraljic matrix is broken. A big problem, as we have regularly explained, is that you can’t compress two independent dimensions (risk and complexity) into one. A little problem is people don’t understand how to qualify the importance of a purchase. It has nothing to do with cost or volume but everything to do with the organizational impact if the product or service being purchased suddenly becomes unavailable. Similarly, it has nothing to do with how much you buy from the supplier, but how critical it is they don’t go out of business. It might be a critical component, but if there are ten other suppliers who can meet that demand for you tomorrow, the supplier is not critical to your organization.

But the biggest problem is that people regularly misunderstand the purpose of the matrix — it was a tool, and the first of it’s kind, designed to get us thinking critically about purchasing and point us in the right direction. It wasn’t the be-all and end-all. It was the first formal methodology an organization had to segment purchases and suppliers, think about them critically, and approach sourcing and supply assurance methodologically. And it was created in a time when global sourcing was more predictable (because natural disasters were a fifth of what they are today, war’s didn’t breakout overnight without warning on the whims of a mad man stuck in a macho cold war colonial mindset), risk was primarily complexity, and if you used the methodology, you probably had a success rate of 90%, which was phenomenal.

Kraljic gave us a way to structure our critical thinking and improve the profession, and all most consultants did was water it down, create a one-size-fits-none methodology, and sell it like it was the next panacea, creating a consulting snake oil from a masterpiece of thought.

A masterpiece of thought you only understand if you understand the framework in which it was built, and those were foundations laid four and a half decades earlier by Ronald Coase in his 1937 essay “The Nature of the Firm“.

The framework was that of organizing the supply management operations of a firm, where the definition of the firm was the one put forward by Coase, which is essentially that the firm was the mechanism by which transaction costs were minimized. (Otherwise, there would be no need for a firm!)

Transaction costs are the result of the price mechanism of the open market, and include:

  • the cost of the negotiation and contract
  • the cost of the individual transactions the contract covers
  • the costs associated with production

and include all of the factors (people, equipment, technology, etc.) included in these prices.

This tells us that the fundamental purpose of a firm is … PURCHASING! And the only way a firm can grow is if it can continue to PURCHASE cost effectively (because as soon as the cost of subsequent transactions and / or production exceed the market costs, the firm is dead).

However, as most firms grew, they reached a point of inefficiency (due to management overhead, process inefficiency, and/or paperwork and/or communication point overload), and growth stopped. Also, as they grew, they became more brittle and sensitive to even tiny disruptions.

Kraljic recognized this and introduced the matrix so that firms could approach their purchasing in a more structured manner that would reduce the brittleness, simplify the management, and allow for additional growth and resiliency. And it was a great start.

But simply classifying items into non-critical, leverage, bottleneck, and strategic misses they key point of the firm’s existence. And that’s to ensure that the costs related to the category are not only always lower than the market cost, but remain low as the company scales.

When you classify an item as non-critical, it becomes ignored tail spend, and we’ve seen time and time again that the average overspend in this category is at least 15% in most companies, with many products and services being bought 30% more over market price.

When you classify an item as bottleneck, you focus on assurance of supply, and don’t dive into determining whether an item is a bottleneck because it can only be supplied by a rather limited supply base or because absence would shut down a production line. (Just because only a few suppliers produce the item to your specs doesn’t mean that only a few can, there might be a few dozen that could, and would, produce it to your specs [at a higher quality at the same price] for a guaranteed mid-to-long contractual commitment.)

When you classify an item as leverage, you double down on price (and exploitation of the price mechanism), and this can often come at the expense of quality and dependability, which can result in higher costs later if warranties come into effect or you have to replace products faster than normal (which always incurs a replacement cost in manpower and opportunity that is never factored into the “we can afford 4 of these per decade vs 3” equation).

When you classify an item as strategic, you triple (or more) the amount of effort you put into the management of that item (or category), and there is a point where the excess time investment not only fails to keep to the associated contract and transaction costs below market, but leads to no additional return on cost investment.

This is because the profiles don’t take into account the separate dimensions of risk and complexity or ensure that “importance” is defined as true “impact”, or provide any mechanisms for determining the impact (or risk or complexity).

This is why you need to go back to the foundations and build up a framework that is capable of capturing what the firm really needs!

That’s what the Busch-Lamoureux framework is intending to do.

By organizing categories based on complexity, risk, and impact

  • the cost of the negotiation and contract is based on the complexity, risk, and impact — where all are low, the whole process can be automated and costs minimized
  • the cost of the individual transactions the contract covers are minimized to verification of only what is important, and humans are only involved when automation can’t do that or finds a discrepancy
  • the costs associated with production are minimized as you are selecting a supplier that meets all of the necessary requirements at the minimum cost subject to an acceptable risk factor!

Furthermore, you’re making your contracts for durations appropriate to the category such that you’re adequately accounting for complexity and risk without locking yourself into long term deals that are not beneficial to your organization!

But most important, because the categorization helps you determine how much manpower you actually need to spend on each sourcing event, contract, and transaction, your organization is much less likely to experience decreasing returns as it grows, allowing it the funds it needs to ensure Procurement is appropriately staffed and resourced with the right systems.

Coase gave us the definition of a firm (PURCHASING)! Kraljic helped us understand the fundamentals we need to consider in our modern world. Now we’re giving you a framework to apply those fundamentals in a manner that will let you scale without fear of unnecessary waste. Go forth and transact! (The market depends on it!)

We Don’t Need State of Procurement Reports. We need Procurement Problem Prescriptions!

And we need Hackett Spend Matters to give them to us!

There’s a reason we picked on Hackett this week in our follow up to our 35 part series on why you really DO NOT need to read another State of Procurement report for Five Years, and that’s because we need Hackett to give us solutions to procurement problems.

We need them to tell us not just how to

  • prioritize our concerns
  • extract the core issues
  • identify the most relevant barriers
  • rank the most likely risks

but tell us

  • why some concerns take priority, based on organizational impact
  • how to identify the core issues, so you can learn to do so yourself
  • where you will encounter the barriers, and the techniques for busting through them
  • what the key risks are, with the mitigations and responses you need to put in place

The reality is that

  • you know what your concerns are, but you don’t know which are the most critical to your success when you are overworked, underfunded, and the world is literally burning around you
  • you likely weren’t trained in root cause analysis, and if you’re not a process expert, you will likely have difficulty getting to the root cause (especially if it’s deep in another part of the organization or the partner ecosystem)
  • you don’t know which barriers are equivalent to reinforced concrete and truly blocking your success and which are essentially made of paper mâché and easily conquered
  • how to deal with the most significant risks, especially when you can’t predict them all or influence their likelihood at all

This is the help you need … and Hackett, with the acquisition of Spend Matters, is the only analyst firm with the bench strength left in Procurement to do it!

The reality is that the original analysts in our space (first at AMR Research, which was acquired by Gartner; and then Aberdeen, acquired by Harte Hanks; and finally Forrester) all departed years ago. The number of analysts who have been in, and continually analyzing, Procurement Tech for 20 years is now countable on your fingers (and since Mickey North Rizza, at IDC, and Magnus Bergfors, at Gartner, both did a long stint in the vendor ecosystem and Jason Busch recently departed the analyst space for the vendor ecosystem, I can only confirm [besides myself] Jon Hansen of Procurement Insights, Andrew Bartolini and Christopher Dwyer of Ardent Partners, and Chris Sawchuk and the legendary Pierre Mitchell at Hackett [who goes all the way back to AMR]) as vets who have been consistently analyzing the Procurement space for at least the last two decades (back to when SI started 20 years ago in 2006). If you look at the handful of organizations with a senior Procurement analyst with two decades of experience, only Hackett, who also has Xavier Olivera and Bertrand Maltaverne, have a real Procurement Analyst team with deep bench strength where you have four senior analysts who each have 25+ years of deep Procurement expertise!

No other organization can give us the deep insights and playbooks we need to elevate our Procurement organizations, and do it without defaulting to the BS of “just implement the tech-du-jour of our sponsors and use our [associated] consulting arm to do it” — which we all know is not a solution (because, if it was, your problems would have been solved two decades ago)! But if they don’t do it soon, before Pierre and Chris retire, they won’t be able to — and, frankly, neither will anyone else! The time is now for them to stop wasting their analysts’ time on “state of” surveys and reports and instead explain what the findings of the last decade mean, what processes are needed to address the gaps, what organizational changes may be needed to implement those processes, and why we need to return to the classic

  1. PEOPLE-FIRST
  2. PROCESS-SECOND
  3. TECHNOLOGY-LAST

approach to solving problems and that, in the modern age, we have to actually modify this to:

  1. PEOPLE-FIRST
  2. PROCESS-SECOND
  3. DATA-THIRD
  4. TECHNOLOGY-LAST

because

  1. we are the ones who have to execute the business, all machines do is transmit and process data
  2. problems are solved by repeatable, predictable, dependable processes that can be executed by humans in a worst case scenario (even if intended to be automated to the majority of the time)
  3. no process can be executed without the right information
  4. technology only comes into play when we know it’s the right solution (and we can’t know it’s the right solution until we’ve addressed the people, process, and data elements)

and to do this, you need a lot of experience, domain expertise, knowledge about what data is available, and deep technology knowledge.

And this is another area where Hackett brings deep bench strength.

From the beginning, most of the analysts in our space were not technologists but operations research people, business finance, economists, accountants, and even historians. Few had computer science or engineering degrees and fewer still relevant experience building/installing relevant applications. At Hackett, Chris and Bertrand are engineers and Xavier and Pierre are computer scientists, who all have relevant real world experience with tech. They have a much better understanding of what tech can, and can’t do, then an average analyst (and are much less likely to have the wool pulled over their eyes by a new “AI-first” player that does nothing more than wrap a third party LLM to deliver a solution of questionable performance and reliability, for e.g.) and can do a much better job of not only recommending what type of tech to use, but who you should look at and why, versus just “who comes out in the upper right of of the magic map” based on blended subjective scores that, at the end of the day, mean nothing.

But the clock is ticking and time is running out. Let’s hope Hackett realizes sooner than later what types of research and reports we really need vs. just wasting their key analysts’ on surveys and summaries thereof.

HACKETT CONFIRMS THE STATE OF PROCUREMENT HAS NOT CHANGED … No Need to Read The Full Report!

Nothing makes my point better than slide 15 on Trends in Procurement priorities in the 2026 Procurement Agenda and Key Issues Study Results sponsored (at least) by Jaggaer, SAP and Unit4 (and likely others).

Basically, every year you have the concerns of

  • supply continuity
  • cost reduction against inflationary price increase
  • strategic business advisory
  • digital transformation and the tech-du-jour (analytics to AI)
  • operating model improvements

All of the risks fall into our eight ever present risk categories:

  • Talent: Access, Acquisition & Retention, Retiring Workforce Impact
  • Disasters: (Other) Supply Chain Disruptions
  • Cyberattack: CyberSecurity Risks
  • Spend Pressure: Economic Downturn, Changing Customer Expectations, Capital Access, Competitive Alternatives
  • Supply Shortage (and Trigger Events): Trade Wars, Geopolitical Tension
  • Regulatory Compliance: Regulatory Compliance, Ethics & Privacy, Product Liability
  • Corruption: IP Loss
  • Tech-Du-Jour: AI-enabled Tech, Tech Transformation Delays, Tech Obsolescence

It’s the same-old, same-old situation when it comes to initiatives, except the tech-du-jour (AI) is nearing the top of the list, and the ecosystem is essentially the same, only the names of the players have changed. And, of course, the conclusion is, surprise surprise, to employ the tech-du-jour which, lo-and-behold, Hackett stands by and stands ready to help you with (despite the 94%+ failure rates found by MIT and McKinsey).

In other words, it’s the report we expected, and the first of many to come. (As you can expect every other analyst firm and consultancy will soon be releasing theirs, if they haven’t already. But we won’t be reading them, and for the next five years at least, neither should you.)

And, with the exception of the key shifts in concerns, issues, risks, and barriers, which could be a two page summary, it’s not a report you need to read through as very little has changed in the last decade.

THE STATE OF PROCUREMENT HAS NOT CHANGED! So Ignore all the Reports Flooding Your Feeds!

Between November of last year and January of this year, SI published a 35 part series on why you really DO NOT need to read another State of Procurement report for Five Years in order to save you the trouble of reading yet another report that was 95% the same as last year’s report, and 85%+ the same as the report you read five, if not ten, years ago.

The realty is that:

  • the barriers to success never change (just their relative criticality based upon which ones are currently your biggest obstacles)
  • the risks never change (although some go up each year while others temporarily go down)
  • the concerns never change, with the exception of the tech-du-jour which just replaces the previous tech-du-jour when the hype cycle changes

And this is because

  • the core function of Procurement HAS NOT changed since the first manual was published one hundred and thirty nine years ago, which means
  • the issues Procurement is addressing today are essentially the same fundamental issues Procurement has always been facing which means
  • the priorities have not changed either

And you don’t need to read 30 to 60 page reports to realize this. All that’s relevant is what climbed or fell on each list since last year since that tells you

  • which challenges are coming your way if they haven’t hit yet,
  • which technologies and trends are gaining hype status, and
  • how your peers see their priorities for the year

Nothing beyond that is useful, as the functions, issues, priorities, concerns, risks, and barriers are the same (although some have rapidly climbed the charts with a certain World Leader randomly removing regimes, starting special military actions, and blocking trade routes with no warning).

The state of global procurement is dire!

Supply Chains are Broken.

  • Terrorists in the Red Sea.
  • The Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed.
  • Piracy is back off the Ivory coast.
  • Climate change is leading to Panamanian droughts and reduced Canal capacity.
  • Natural Disaster / Storms are on the rise and traversing the Capes is riskier than ever.
  • China’s Zero Tolerance policy means complete port shutdown on the detection of a single virus.
  • Sanctions cut off entire countries.

Old Guard Insight is gone.

  • AMR was swallowed by Gartner, who lost the last of their great analysts.
  • Harte Hanks gutted Aberdeen.
  • Forrester saw (well-deserved retirements).
  • Even the IDC Outsourcing greats moved on!
  • Spend Matters is gone. (Rest in Peace)
  • A space that once had almost 200 independent blogs/analyst (firms) now has barely 20.
    (SI once hosted a resource site that tracked each and every one.)(New) Tech is only causing chaos!

    We’ve went through 5 generations of tech-du-jour in the last 25 years.

        1. World Wide Web
        2. SaaS
        3. Fluffy Magic Cloud
        4. Predictive Analytics
        5. AI

    Not one solved the problems they promised — and the current tech, AI, is failing faster than ever before (with a tech failure rate already at an all time high of 88%). (6% of companies are seeing a return on their AI investments. That’s all!)

    It’s our darkest moment in Procurement and Supply Chain to date.

    We need guidance more than ever. We need the masters!

    We need to call for the return of the Enterprise Irregulars.

    Most of you won’t remember — but the greats in our space came back together back in the 2006 to 2008 time-frame and launched the portal that would collectively change our space before each of them went off to form their own ventures and change a part of the space on their own. Some of those parts survive, some don’t. But we need them back together. If you agree, echo the call!

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